In this study, we analyze the impact of currency appreciation on sovereign spread and economic activities in Asian emerging market economies (EMEs) using a structural vector autoregression model. The key issue under scrutiny is the presence of a risk-taking financial channel and its strength against the conventional trade channel. The underlying structural shocks are identified by a mix of sign, size, and zero restrictions. Based on the various measures of country risk, we find empirical evidence that a currency appreciation is expansionary for Asian EMEs through the financial channel, compressing the sovereign spread and offsetting the trade channel. We provide the policy implications of these results.
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© 2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Geography, Planning and Development