Predicting Influence Probabilities using Graph Convolutional Networks

Jing Liu, Yudi Chen, Duanshun Li, Noseong Park, Kisung Lee, Dongwon Lee

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

4 Citations (Scopus)


As one of the fundamental tasks in data analytics, Influence Maximization methods have been widely used in many real-world applications. For instance, in social network analysis, after building a directed graph, where edges are weighted with influence probabilities, influence maximization methods can be used to find a set of users who can maximize the spread of information under certain cascade models. Despite their successes, however, one critical weakness of existing influence maximization methods lies in the fact that edges are weighted with historical probabilities. As such, influence maximization methods perform sub-optimal if there occur non-trivial changes in future. In response to this challenge, in this work, we propose a novel prediction-driven influence maximization method that accurately predicts future influence probabilities using graph convolutional networks and find seed users based on the predicted probabilities. The experiments with five real-world datasets show that our prediction accuracy is accurate (e.g., mean absolute percentage error less than 0.1) in many cases, and our prediction-driven influence maximization is very close to the optimal.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2019 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, Big Data 2019
EditorsChaitanya Baru, Jun Huan, Latifur Khan, Xiaohua Tony Hu, Ronay Ak, Yuanyuan Tian, Roger Barga, Carlo Zaniolo, Kisung Lee, Yanfang Fanny Ye
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Number of pages10
ISBN (Electronic)9781728108582
Publication statusPublished - 2019 Dec
Event2019 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, Big Data 2019 - Los Angeles, United States
Duration: 2019 Dec 92019 Dec 12

Publication series

NameProceedings - 2019 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, Big Data 2019


Conference2019 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, Big Data 2019
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityLos Angeles

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2019 IEEE.

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computer Networks and Communications
  • Information Systems
  • Information Systems and Management


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