TY - JOUR
T1 - How to use GP
T2 - effects of the mean function and hyperparameter selection on Gaussian process regression
AU - Hwang, Seung Gyu
AU - L'Huillier, Benjamin
AU - Keeley, Ryan E
AU - Jee, M. James
AU - Shafieloo, Arman
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 IOP Publishing Ltd and Sissa Medialab.
PY - 2023/2/1
Y1 - 2023/2/1
N2 - Gaussian processes have been widely used in cosmology to reconstruct cosmological quantities in a model-independent way. However, the validity of the adopted mean function and hyperparameters, and the dependence of the results on the choice have not been well explored. In this paper, we study the effects of the underlying mean function and the hyperparameter selection on the reconstruction of the distance moduli from type Ia supernovae. We show that the choice of an arbitrary mean function affects the reconstruction: a zero mean function leads to unphysical distance moduli and the best-fit ΛCDM to biased reconstructions. We propose to marginalize over a family of mean functions and over the hyperparameters to effectively remove their impact on the reconstructions. We further explore the validity and consistency of the results considering different kernel functions and show that our method is unbiased.
AB - Gaussian processes have been widely used in cosmology to reconstruct cosmological quantities in a model-independent way. However, the validity of the adopted mean function and hyperparameters, and the dependence of the results on the choice have not been well explored. In this paper, we study the effects of the underlying mean function and the hyperparameter selection on the reconstruction of the distance moduli from type Ia supernovae. We show that the choice of an arbitrary mean function affects the reconstruction: a zero mean function leads to unphysical distance moduli and the best-fit ΛCDM to biased reconstructions. We propose to marginalize over a family of mean functions and over the hyperparameters to effectively remove their impact on the reconstructions. We further explore the validity and consistency of the results considering different kernel functions and show that our method is unbiased.
KW - Bayesian reasoning
KW - Machine learning
KW - Statistical sampling techniques
KW - supernova type Ia - standard candles
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U2 - 10.1088/1475-7516/2023/02/014
DO - 10.1088/1475-7516/2023/02/014
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85147825791
SN - 1475-7516
VL - 2023
JO - Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics
JF - Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics
IS - 2
M1 - 014
ER -