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Estimating Skewness and Kurtosis for Asymmetric Heavy-Tailed Data: A Regression Approach

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Abstract

Estimating skewness and kurtosis from real-world data remains a long-standing challenge in actuarial science and financial risk management, where these higher-order moments are critical for capturing asymmetry and tail risk. Traditional moment-based estimators are known to be highly sensitive to outliers and often fail when the assumption of normality is violated. Despite numerous extensions—from robust moment-based methods to quantile-based measures—being proposed over the decades, no universally satisfactory solution has been reported, and many existing methods exhibit limited effectiveness, particularly under challenging distributional shapes. In this paper we propose a novel method that jointly estimates skewness and kurtosis based on a regression adaptation of the Cornish–Fisher expansion. By modeling the empirical quantiles as a cubic polynomial of the standard normal variable, the proposed approach produces a reliable and efficient estimator that better captures distributional shape without strong parametric assumptions. Our comprehensive simulation studies show that the proposed method performs much better than existing estimators across a wide range of distributions, especially when the data are skewed or heavy-tailed, as is typical in actuarial and financial applications.

Original languageEnglish
Article number2694
JournalMathematics
Volume13
Issue number16
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2025 Aug

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 by the authors.

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Computer Science (miscellaneous)
  • General Mathematics
  • Engineering (miscellaneous)

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