Can GANs Learn the Stylized Facts of Financial Time Series?

Sohyeon Kwon, Yongjae Lee

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

In the financial sector, a sophisticated financial time series simulator is essential for evaluating financial products and investment strategies. Traditional back-testing methods have mainly relied on historical data-driven approaches or mathematical model-driven approaches, such as various stochastic processes. However, in the current era of AI, data-driven approaches, where models learn the intrinsic characteristics of data directly, have emerged as promising techniques. Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have surfaced as promising generative models, capturing data distributions through adversarial learning. Financial time series, characterized "stylized facts"such as random walks, mean-reverting patterns, unexpected jumps, and time-varying volatility, present significant challenges for deep neural networks to learn their intrinsic characteristics. This study examines the ability of GANs to learn diverse and complex temporal patterns (i.e., stylized facts) of both univariate and multivariate financial time series. Our extensive experiments revealed that GANs can capture various stylized facts of financial time series, but their performance varies significantly depending on the choice of generator architecture. This suggests that naively applying GANs might not effectively capture the intricate characteristics inherent in financial time series, highlighting the importance of carefully considering and validating the modeling choices.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationICAIF 2024 - 5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery, Inc
Pages126-133
Number of pages8
ISBN (Electronic)9798400710810
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024 Nov 14
Event5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance, ICAIF 2024 - Brooklyn, United States
Duration: 2024 Nov 142024 Nov 17

Publication series

NameICAIF 2024 - 5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance

Conference

Conference5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance, ICAIF 2024
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityBrooklyn
Period24/11/1424/11/17

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 Owner/Author.

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Finance

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