Abstract
In the financial sector, a sophisticated financial time series simulator is essential for evaluating financial products and investment strategies. Traditional back-testing methods have mainly relied on historical data-driven approaches or mathematical model-driven approaches, such as various stochastic processes. However, in the current era of AI, data-driven approaches, where models learn the intrinsic characteristics of data directly, have emerged as promising techniques. Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have surfaced as promising generative models, capturing data distributions through adversarial learning. Financial time series, characterized "stylized facts"such as random walks, mean-reverting patterns, unexpected jumps, and time-varying volatility, present significant challenges for deep neural networks to learn their intrinsic characteristics. This study examines the ability of GANs to learn diverse and complex temporal patterns (i.e., stylized facts) of both univariate and multivariate financial time series. Our extensive experiments revealed that GANs can capture various stylized facts of financial time series, but their performance varies significantly depending on the choice of generator architecture. This suggests that naively applying GANs might not effectively capture the intricate characteristics inherent in financial time series, highlighting the importance of carefully considering and validating the modeling choices.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | ICAIF 2024 - 5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance |
Publisher | Association for Computing Machinery, Inc |
Pages | 126-133 |
Number of pages | 8 |
ISBN (Electronic) | 9798400710810 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2024 Nov 14 |
Event | 5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance, ICAIF 2024 - Brooklyn, United States Duration: 2024 Nov 14 → 2024 Nov 17 |
Publication series
Name | ICAIF 2024 - 5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance |
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Conference
Conference | 5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance, ICAIF 2024 |
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Country/Territory | United States |
City | Brooklyn |
Period | 24/11/14 → 24/11/17 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2024 Owner/Author.
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Artificial Intelligence
- Finance